Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.464011 0.594895 0.736438 0.898943 1.078592 1.269574 1.486478
2025-04-06 0.261087 0.428555 0.630294 0.881238 1.176763 1.506999 1.897835
2025-04-13 0.186514 0.371425 0.611931 0.926278 1.309750 1.749427 2.280285
2025-04-20 0.135042 0.329276 0.601273 0.972312 1.437979 1.982536 2.649816
2025-04-27 0.101069 0.301334 0.601325 1.025290 1.569311 2.215001 3.014810
2025-05-04 0.083829 0.294928 0.627818 1.110141 1.738362 2.491271 3.430403
2025-05-11 0.062729 0.274538 0.630109 1.160006 1.861513 2.710996 3.778342
2025-05-18 0.039720 0.240451 0.606600 1.171190 1.932855 2.866032 4.048075
2025-05-25 0.015016 0.182858 0.536711 1.111353 1.907815 2.899565 4.169689
2025-06-01 0.002351 0.132783 0.468532 1.046728 1.871223 2.914841 4.265976
2025-06-08 NaN 0.102671 0.429097 1.020089 1.882081 2.986953 4.429087
2025-06-15 NaN 0.090847 0.423357 1.043924 1.960903 3.144585 4.696571
2025-06-22 NaN 0.073039 0.402769 1.046008 2.013855 3.275274 4.939255
2025-06-29 NaN 0.052610 0.369614 1.025235 2.034086 3.364275 5.131661
2025-07-06 NaN 0.049173 0.378695 1.074418 2.153092 3.580792 5.482200
2025-07-13 NaN 0.046154 0.388132 1.124024 2.272761 3.798388 5.834455
2025-07-20 NaN 0.044786 0.401986 1.181190 2.403368 4.030395 6.204938
2025-07-27 NaN 0.049566 0.435165 1.272476 2.583695 4.327877 6.657872
2025-08-03 NaN 0.047599 0.446905 1.326022 2.709307 4.553714 7.021146
2025-08-10 NaN 0.039111 0.435570 1.338019 2.774076 4.699434 7.283757
2025-08-17 NaN 0.021943 0.383824 1.273780 2.725022 4.693667 7.354624
2025-08-24 NaN 0.009462 0.332418 1.204272 2.664626 4.670380 7.401313
2025-08-31 NaN 0.004100 0.304233 1.175578 2.663217 4.724063 7.543957